Date: 2023-02-25 11:06 pm (UTC)
chantaldormand: (pic#15869174)

if there's a good luck potion, surely there's a bad luck potion too?

You managed to rattle up my brain enough to remember that yes, there is something like bad luck potion in canon. Mackled Malaclaw bite causes bad luck, so I imagine that in theory, a wizard who really wants to make someone's life difficult could milk that creature's... venom? Let's call it venom. And soak a parchment in the venom and write letter on it. Considering that bite of Mackled Malaclaw can cause bad luck for up to a week, it is a sneaky way to make someone critically fail their rolls lol

But I suppose from Albus' perspective it doesn't matter which one of them is secret keeper. If he undervalues Sirius's combat skills and resistance to torture then he probably believes that Sirius would quickly spill Peter's address, no matter how much macho bravado he shows off during Order meetings.

Marauders' Moonlight Strolls are worthy of multiple facepalms. It fits what overconfident teenagers would do, but I'm not going to over analyse it here- that is something that I think was beaten into the ground by both FF writers and essay writers. But yes, I agree even without knowing about those werewolf environment-enhancing incidents, Marauders' successes do look like they were incredibly lucky (and had indulgent teaching staff) to end up scot-free.

About the plotting... hmmm I kind of both agree and disagree. When you manipulate people around you as much as Albus does I think it becomes a habit. So I think he does meddle everywhere he can reach but has multiple plans depending on how dices roll. Let's take Fidelious spell for example. If he really wants to speed up the confrontation between Harry and Tom, him gently trying to convince Marauders to make him the secret keeper and talking about the dangers of being a secret keeper could in theory end up in 3 different situations. 1 and 2 being Marauders being overconfident and taking up either Peter or Sirius as secret keeper ergo revealing they aren't trustworthy or reliable pawns on Albus' chessboard. And then there is possibility 3 where Albus becomes the secret keeper. At first glance, it would make creating the confrontation hard, but Albus could come up with a method of sharing the secret with Voldemort that wouldn't come back to bite him too badly. And Albus could publicly state Voldemort use highly illegal means to attain this information, letting the average WW citizen make their own interpretation of what horrible magic Voldemort used to get the location of the Potters

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